Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Ian Entwistle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71.5"Reach64,0"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Ian EntwistleNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
8%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.36
TBD
Strike defense
32%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
12.07

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaIan Entwistle
15001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (88%)
3 (100%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca60%
Ian Entwistle 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 60% favorite over Ian Entwistle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ian Entwistle's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1557), separated by just 6 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ian Entwistle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Ian Entwistle 100%.

Alex Apodaca carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.