Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Lucie Pudilová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record17-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Lucie PudilováNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaLucie Pudilová
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (12%)
4 (100%)
Decision
12 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca71%
Lucie Pudilová 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 71% favorite over Lucie Pudilová in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucie Pudilová's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1584), separated by just 6 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Lucie Pudilová 29%.

Alex Apodaca carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.