Alex Apodaca vs Marion Reneau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record9-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1601
If they lose-25→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ApodacaMarion Reneau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Apodaca84%
Marion Reneau 16%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 84% favorite over Marion Reneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1569), separated by just 9 points.
Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Marion Reneau 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.