Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Niamh Kinehan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record3-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight130 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Niamh KinehanNow 1581
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaNiamh Kinehan
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (100%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Apodaca and Niamh Kinehan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Niamh Kinehan enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Niamh Kinehan 67%.

Alex Apodaca carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.