Alex Apodaca vs Paul Ruiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record7-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71.5"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tiger Beetle Martial ArtsTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1574
If they lose-24→ 1526
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ApodacaPaul Ruiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Apodaca62%
Paul Ruiz 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 62% favorite over Paul Ruiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1550), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Apodaca enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Paul Ruiz 57%.
Alex Apodaca carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.