Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Roman Salazar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record14-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71.5"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Roman SalazarNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaRoman Salazar
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (100%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca62%
Roman Salazar 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 62% favorite over Roman Salazar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roman Salazar's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Roman Salazar 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.