Alex Apodaca vs Smilla Sundell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record3-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex ApodacaSmilla Sundell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Apodaca57%
Smilla Sundell 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 57% favorite over Smilla Sundell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Smilla Sundell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Smilla Sundell 67%.
Alex Apodaca carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.