Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Stephanie Egger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record8-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1578
If they win+23→ 1601
If they lose-25→ 1553
Stephanie EggerNow 1567
If they win+17→ 1584
If they lose-15→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.48
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaStephanie Egger
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (100%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca79%
Stephanie Egger 21%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 79% favorite over Stephanie Egger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1567), separated by just 11 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Stephanie Egger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Egger 88%.

Alex Apodaca carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.