Alex Bigander vs Che Mills
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record16-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Checkmat ManilaTeamTrojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex BiganderChe Mills
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Bigander and Che Mills within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1556), separated by just 0 points.
Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Bigander finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Che Mills 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.