Alex Bigander vs Jared Rollins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Checkmat ManilaTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex BiganderJared Rollins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Bigander55%
Jared Rollins 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Bigander a 55% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Bigander finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jared Rollins 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.