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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Caolán Loughran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
73,5"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Caolán LoughranNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.80
63%
Strike defense
55%
0.54
Takedown avg.
5
68%
Takedown accuracy
42%
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex CaceresCaolán Loughran
165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
7 (33%)
Submission
3 (27%)
10 (48%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran62%
Alex Caceres 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 62% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Caceres's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Caolán Loughran 73%.

Alex Caceres carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.