
Alex Caceres vs Cole Escovedo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cole Escovedo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Caceres a 53% favorite over Cole Escovedo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1636, a 15-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cole Escovedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Cole Escovedo 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.