Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Cole Escovedo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73,5"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamPacific Martial Arts

What's at stake

Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cole Escovedo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+11→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1638
Cole EscovedoNow 1636
If they win+13→ 1649
If they lose-11→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
63%
Strike defense
49%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.43
68%
Takedown accuracy
33%
65%
Takedown defense
13%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex CaceresCole Escovedo
16501700201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
7 (33%)
Submission
9 (53%)
10 (48%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Caceres53%
Cole Escovedo 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Caceres a 53% favorite over Cole Escovedo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1636, a 15-point edge.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cole Escovedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Cole Escovedo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.