AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Gjoni Palokaj

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
73,5"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Gjoni PalokajNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
63%
Strike defense
Not available
0.54
Takedown avg.
Not available
68%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
65%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.67
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex CaceresGjoni Palokaj
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
7 (33%)
Submission
2 (15%)
10 (48%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Gjoni Palokaj54%
Alex Caceres 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gjoni Palokaj a 54% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Gjoni Palokaj 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.