Alex Caceres vs Jason Knight
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record23-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73,5"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamAlan Belcher MMA Club
What's at stake
Jason Knight is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1640
If they win+11→ 1687
If they lose-13→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresJason Knight
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Knight70%
Alex Caceres 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Knight a 70% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jason Knight holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1651, a 25-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jason Knight 83%.
Alex Caceres carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.