Alex Caceres vs Jimy Hettes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73,5"Reach40.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamNortheast Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jimy Hettes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1658
If they lose-17→ 1634
If they win+33→ 1542
If they lose-15→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresJimy Hettes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Caceres68%
Jimy Hettes 32%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Caceres a 68% favorite over Jimy Hettes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1509, a 142-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jimy Hettes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jimy Hettes 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.