Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Masanori Kanehara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record29-13-5
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
73,5"Reach40.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamReversal Gym Tachikawa Alpha

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Masanori KaneharaNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
1.88
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
63%
Strike defense
63%
0.54
Takedown avg.
1.44
68%
Takedown accuracy
50%
65%
Takedown defense
64%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Alex CaceresMasanori Kanehara
1650202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
11 (38%)
7 (33%)
Submission
10 (34%)
10 (48%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Caceres and Masanori Kanehara within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1646), separated by just 5 points.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Masanori Kanehara enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Masanori Kanehara 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.