Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Masio Fullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record15-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73,5"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Masio Fullen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+8→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1635
Masio FullenNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-8→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
50%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.50
63%
Strike defense
54%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.47
68%
Takedown accuracy
33%
65%
Takedown defense
69%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex CaceresMasio Fullen
15501600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
7 (33%)
Submission
6 (40%)
10 (48%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Caceres72%
Masio Fullen 28%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Caceres a 72% favorite over Masio Fullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1545, a 106-point edge.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Masio Fullen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Masio Fullen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.