Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Roland Delorme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record9-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73,5"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamWinnipeg Academy of MMA

What's at stake

Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Roland Delorme carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+9→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1636
Roland DelormeNow 1573
If they win+20→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
63%
Strike defense
40%
0.54
Takedown avg.
2.51
68%
Takedown accuracy
34%
65%
Takedown defense
43%
0.67
Submission avg.
1.60

Trajectory

Alex CaceresRoland Delorme
1600165020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
7 (33%)
Submission
6 (67%)
10 (48%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Caceres70%
Roland Delorme 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Caceres a 70% favorite over Roland Delorme in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1573, a 78-point edge.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roland Delorme enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Roland Delorme 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.