Alex Caceres vs Rolando Dy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record14-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
73,5"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamBiagtan Muay Thai
What's at stake
Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rolando Dy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1536
If they lose-8→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresRolando Dy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Caceres64%
Rolando Dy 36%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Caceres a 64% favorite over Rolando Dy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1520, a 131-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rolando Dy enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Dy 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.