Alex Caceres vs Sergio Pettis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record25-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
73,5"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight134 lbs
MMA LabTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Sergio Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-9→ 1642
If they win+9→ 1761
If they lose-15→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresSergio Pettis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Pettis86%
Alex Caceres 14%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 86% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Sergio Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1651, a 101-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.
Alex Caceres carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.