Alex Caceres vs Urijah Faber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record35-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
73,5"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-8→ 1643
If they win+8→ 1785
If they lose-16→ 1761
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresUrijah Faber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Urijah Faber75%
Alex Caceres 25%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Urijah Faber a 75% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1651, a 126-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.