Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Chambers vs Ashley Yoder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
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Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record8-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'7"
63,0"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alex Chambers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ChambersNow 1510
If they win+17→ 1527
If they lose-15→ 1495
Ashley YoderNow 1537
If they win+15→ 1552
If they lose-17→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
54%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
51%
Strike defense
47%
2.31
Takedown avg.
1.09
41%
Takedown accuracy
28%
53%
Takedown defense
67%
0.99
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Alex ChambersAshley Yoder
150015502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
4 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Yoder53%
Alex Chambers 47%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 53% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1510, a 27-point edge.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ashley Yoder 50%.

Alex Chambers and Ashley Yoder share 1 common opponent: Livinha Souza.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSUB · 2018
Livinha Souza
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020