Alex Chambers vs Ayane Hirata
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height4'10"
63,0"Reach-
115 lbsWeight108 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBurst
What's at stake
Alex Chambers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ayane Hirata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1525
If they lose-17→ 1493
If they win+25→ 1519
If they lose-23→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ChambersAyane Hirata
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayane Hirata70%
Alex Chambers 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 70% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Chambers's way (48%).
Alex Chambers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1510 to 1494, a 16-point edge.
Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ayane Hirata 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.