Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Chambers vs Istela Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record6-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63,0"Reach66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Nunes

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ChambersNow 1510
If they win+16→ 1526
If they lose-16→ 1494
Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
54%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
51%
Strike defense
60%
2.31
Takedown avg.
0
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
50%
0.99
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex ChambersIstela Nunes
1500155020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Chambers and Istela Nunes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1510 vs 1501), separated by just 9 points.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Istela Nunes 33%.

Istela Nunes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.