Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Chambers vs Kailin Curran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63,0"Reach37,0"
115 lbsWeight113 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRVCA

What's at stake

Alex Chambers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ChambersNow 1510
If they win+14→ 1524
If they lose-18→ 1492
Kailin CurranNow 1471
If they win+18→ 1489
If they lose-14→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
54%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.75
51%
Strike defense
53%
2.31
Takedown avg.
2
41%
Takedown accuracy
58%
53%
Takedown defense
62%
0.99
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Alex ChambersKailin Curran
14501500201720182019

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (20%)
Decision
5 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Chambers and Kailin Curran within a point of even.

Alex Chambers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1510 to 1471, a 39-point edge.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.