Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Chambers vs Livinha Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Livinha Souza
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Livinha Souza

“The Brazilian Gangster”

14-4-0StrawweightUFC

1652Good

Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record14-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63,0"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Maximo

What's at stake

Livinha Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alex Chambers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ChambersNow 1510
If they win+22→ 1532
If they lose-10→ 1500
Livinha SouzaNow 1652
If they win+10→ 1662
If they lose-22→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.60
51%
Strike defense
57%
2.31
Takedown avg.
2.54
41%
Takedown accuracy
46%
53%
Takedown defense
40%
0.99
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Alex ChambersLivinha Souza
150015501600165017002018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (40%)
Submission
8 (57%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Livinha Souza83%
Alex Chambers 17%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Livinha Souza a 83% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Livinha Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1510, a 142-point edge.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Livinha Souza 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.