Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Chambers vs Nadia Kassem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record5-2-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63,0"Reach38.50
115 lbsWeight120 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAustralian Top Team

What's at stake

Alex Chambers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nadia Kassem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ChambersNow 1510
If they win+15→ 1525
If they lose-17→ 1493
Nadia KassemNow 1484
If they win+26→ 1510
If they lose-22→ 1462

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
54%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
51%
Strike defense
49%
2.31
Takedown avg.
0.46
41%
Takedown accuracy
33%
53%
Takedown defense
40%
0.99
Submission avg.
2.76

Trajectory

Alex ChambersNadia Kassem
150020182019

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Nadia Kassem61%
Alex Chambers 39%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Nadia Kassem a 61% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Chambers's way (46%).

Alex Chambers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1510 to 1484, a 26-point edge.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nadia Kassem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nadia Kassem 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.