Alex Chambers vs Paige VanZant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record8-5-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63,0"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Barra Portland
What's at stake
Paige VanZant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Alex Chambers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1529
If they lose-13→ 1497
If they win+13→ 1587
If they lose-19→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ChambersPaige VanZant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paige VanZant78%
Alex Chambers 22%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Paige VanZant a 78% favorite over Alex Chambers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Paige VanZant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1574 to 1510, a 64-point edge.
Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Chambers finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Paige VanZant 63%.
Alex Chambers and Paige VanZant share 1 common opponent: Kailin Curran.
Paige VanZant carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.