Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Alexander Yakovlev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record25-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73"Reach74,0"
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

Alex da Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alexander Yakovlev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+14→ 1677
If they lose-18→ 1645
Alexander YakovlevNow 1616
If they win+14→ 1630
If they lose-10→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.97
Takedown avg.
1.66
44%
Takedown accuracy
35%
77%
Takedown defense
72%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaAlexander Yakovlev
16001650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
8 (33%)
Submission
9 (36%)
2 (8%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva75%
Alexander Yakovlev 25%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 75% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Alex da Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1616, a 47-point edge.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Yakovlev 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.