Alex da Silva vs John Alessio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-5-0Record35-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex da SilvaJohn Alessio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex da Silva69%
John Alessio 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 69% favorite over John Alessio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.
Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, John Alessio 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.