Alex Garcia vs Ben Wall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record10-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72,0"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight154 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Alex Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ben Wall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1623
If they lose-22→ 1591
If they win+22→ 1504
If they lose-10→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaBen Wall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Garcia60%
Ben Wall 40%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Garcia a 60% favorite over Ben Wall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Alex Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1482, a 131-point edge.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ben Wall 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.