Alex Garcia vs Court McGee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record22-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Alex Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1637
If they lose-18→ 1605
If they win+13→ 1596
If they lose-11→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaCourt McGee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Court McGee60%
Alex Garcia 40%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Court McGee a 60% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Garcia's way (44%).
Alex Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1583, a 40-point edge.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Court McGee enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Court McGee 50%.
Alex Garcia and Court McGee share 1 common opponent: Tim Means.
Court McGee carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.