Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Garcia vs Jan Stanovský

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Garcia
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Alex Garcia

“The Dominican Nightmare”

15-8-0WelterweightACA

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72,0"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight160 lbs
Tristar GymTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex GarciaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Jan StanovskýNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
31%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
3.72
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex GarciaJan Stanovský
15001550160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
6 (40%)
Submission
3 (38%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jan Stanovský70%
Alex Garcia 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jan Stanovský a 70% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Garcia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1611), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jan Stanovský 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.