Alex Garcia vs Mike Pyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach74,0"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alex Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1632
If they lose-13→ 1600
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaMike Pyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pyle53%
Alex Garcia 47%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pyle a 53% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1613, a 61-point edge.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.
Mike Pyle carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.