Alex Garcia vs Muslim Salikhov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record22-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach70″
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFighting Eagle
What's at stake
Muslim Salikhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alex Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1612
If they win+8→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaMuslim Salikhov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Salikhov66%
Alex Garcia 34%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Salikhov a 66% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Muslim Salikhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1623, a 107-point edge.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Muslim Salikhov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Salikhov 77%.
Alex Garcia carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.