Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Garcia vs Muslim Salikhov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Garcia
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Alex Garcia

“The Dominican Nightmare”

15-8-0WelterweightACA

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach70″
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFighting Eagle

What's at stake

Muslim Salikhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alex Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex GarciaNow 1613
If they win+22→ 1635
If they lose-10→ 1603
Muslim SalikhovNow 1745
If they win+8→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
31%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
59%
Strike defense
62%
3.72
Takedown avg.
1.07
53%
Takedown accuracy
32%
67%
Takedown defense
72%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex GarciaMuslim Salikhov
160016501700175020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (9%)
3 (20%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Salikhov75%
Alex Garcia 25%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Salikhov a 75% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Muslim Salikhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1613, a 132-point edge.

Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Salikhov 77%.

Alex Garcia carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.