Alex Garcia vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'3"
72,0"Reach80"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alex Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1635
If they lose-10→ 1603
If they win+7→ 1765
If they lose-17→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny83%
Alex Garcia 17%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 83% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1613, a 145-point edge.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Neil Magny carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.