Alex Garcia vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach76"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price66%
Alex Garcia 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 66% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.