Alex Garcia vs Rodrigo Sezinando
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"HeightTBD
72,0"Reach71"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaRodrigo Sezinando
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodrigo Sezinando60%
Alex Garcia 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Sezinando a 60% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Garcia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Sezinando 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.