Alex Garcia vs Zach Scroggin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
72,0"Reach74"
171 lbsWeight183 lbs
Tristar GymTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaZach Scroggin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Scroggin66%
Alex Garcia 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Scroggin a 66% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.
Zach Scroggin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.