Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Gorgees vs Gamid Khizriev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record7-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'11"
TBDReach69"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Australian Top TeamTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex GorgeesNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Gamid KhizrievNow 1622
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
32%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex GorgeesGamid Khizriev
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (33%)
Submission
5 (71%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Gamid Khizriev60%
Alex Gorgees 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gamid Khizriev a 60% favorite over Alex Gorgees in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Gorgees's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.

Gamid Khizriev enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alex Gorgees finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gamid Khizriev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.