Alex Gorgees vs Morquez Forest
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReach69"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Australian Top TeamTeamTop Brother
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex GorgeesMorquez Forest
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Gorgees and Morquez Forest within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1623), separated by just 0 points.
Alex Gorgees finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Morquez Forest 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.