Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Hunter vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
226 lbsWeight264 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex HunterNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Marek SamociukNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1468 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex HunterMarek Samociuk
15001550160019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Hunter and Marek Samociuk within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1553), separated by just 7 points.

Alex Hunter enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marek Samociuk 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.