Alex Karalexis vs Attila Korkmaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record16-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach67"
170 lbsWeight164 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamIMAG
What's at stake
Attila Korkmaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alex Karalexis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1531
If they lose-23→ 1483
If they win+15→ 1541
If they lose-17→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex KaralexisAttila Korkmaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Attila Korkmaz60%
Alex Karalexis 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Attila Korkmaz a 60% favorite over Alex Karalexis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Attila Korkmaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1506, a 20-point edge.
Attila Korkmaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Karalexis finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Attila Korkmaz 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.