Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Karalexis vs Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex KaralexisNow 1506
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482
Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1505
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.70
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
87%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.90
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex KaralexisEslam Mostafa Abdel Menem
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (33%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem60%
Alex Karalexis 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 60% favorite over Alex Karalexis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Karalexis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1505), separated by just 1 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Karalexis finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.