Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Karalexis vs Kenny Florian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamFlorian Martial Arts Center

What's at stake

Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alex Karalexis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex KaralexisNow 1506
If they win+34→ 1540
If they lose-14→ 1492
Kenny FlorianNow 1661
If they win+9→ 1670
If they lose-23→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
54%
Strike defense
64%
2.70
Takedown avg.
2.22
45%
Takedown accuracy
33%
87%
Takedown defense
60%
0.90
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Alex KaralexisKenny Florian
150015501600165017002008200920102011

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (10%)
Submission
8 (57%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenny Florian72%
Alex Karalexis 28%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 72% favorite over Alex Karalexis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1506, a 155-point edge.

Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Karalexis finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.