Alex Morgan vs Brahyan Zurcher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record9-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCobrinha BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex MorganBrahyan Zurcher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brahyan Zurcher55%
Alex Morgan 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brahyan Zurcher a 55% favorite over Alex Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Morgan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alex Morgan finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Brahyan Zurcher 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.