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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Morgan vs Luis Saldaña

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Morgan
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Alex Morgan

“The Chess Master”

19-7-0FeatherweightSMMA

1655Good

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record18-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex MorganNow 1655
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1643
Luis SaldañaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.16
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.64
Not available
Takedown accuracy
18%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Alex MorganLuis Saldaña
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (33%)
7 (37%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Morgan51%
Luis Saldaña 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morgan a 51% favorite over Luis Saldaña in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Saldaña's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Morgan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Luis Saldaña enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Morgan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Luis Saldaña 89%.

Luis Saldaña carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.