Alex Morgan vs Sebastian Szalay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71"Reach66"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFreestyle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex MorganSebastian Szalay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sebastian Szalay55%
Alex Morgan 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Szalay a 55% favorite over Alex Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Morgan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.
Alex Morgan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alex Morgan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Szalay 30%.
Alex Morgan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.