Alex Morgan vs Victor Hugo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record25-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"HeightTBD
71"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamIron Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1643
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex MorganVictor Hugo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Hugo52%
Alex Morgan 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Hugo a 52% favorite over Alex Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Morgan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1655), separated by just 0 points.
Alex Morgan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Victor Hugo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Morgan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Victor Hugo 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.