Alex Morono vs Austin Vanderford
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-13-0Record13-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fortis MMATeamGracie Barra Portland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex MoronoAustin Vanderford
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Morono64%
Austin Vanderford 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Morono a 64% favorite over Austin Vanderford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Vanderford's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1690), separated by just 4 points.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Austin Vanderford 62%.
Austin Vanderford carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.